›› 2016,Vol. 31 ›› Issue (4): 649-660.doi: 10.1007/s11390-016-1654-2

所属专题: Data Management and Data Mining

• Special Section on Selected Paper from NPC 2011 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于对象相似度的下一个位置预测研究

Meng Chen1(陈勐), Xiaohui Yu1,2(禹晓辉), Member, CCF, IEEE, and Yang Liu1,*(刘洋), Member, CCF, IEEE   

  1. 1 School of Computer Science and Technology, Shandong University, Jinan 250101, China;
    2 School of Information Technology, York University, Toronto, M3 J1 P3, Canada
  • 收稿日期:2016-02-26 修回日期:2016-05-27 出版日期:2016-07-05 发布日期:2016-07-05
  • 通讯作者: Yang Liu E-mail:yliu@sdu.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:Meng Chen received his B.S. degree in software engineering in 2011 from Shandong University, Jinan. He is currently a Ph.D. candidate in the School of Computer Science and Technology, Shandong University, Jinan. His research interest is in the area of data mining.
  • 基金资助:

    This work was supported in part by the National Basic Research 973 Program of China under Grant No. 2015CB352502, the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 61272092 and 61572289, the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province of China under Grant Nos. ZR2012FZ004 and ZR2015FM002, the Science and Technology Development Program of Shandong Province of China under Grant No. 2014GGE27178, and the NSERC (Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada) Discovery Grants.

Mining Object Similarity for Predicting Next Locations

Meng Chen1(陈勐), Xiaohui Yu1,2(禹晓辉), Member, CCF, IEEE, and Yang Liu1,*(刘洋), Member, CCF, IEEE   

  1. 1 School of Computer Science and Technology, Shandong University, Jinan 250101, China;
    2 School of Information Technology, York University, Toronto, M3 J1 P3, Canada
  • Received:2016-02-26 Revised:2016-05-27 Online:2016-07-05 Published:2016-07-05
  • Contact: Yang Liu E-mail:yliu@sdu.edu.cn
  • About author:Meng Chen received his B.S. degree in software engineering in 2011 from Shandong University, Jinan. He is currently a Ph.D. candidate in the School of Computer Science and Technology, Shandong University, Jinan. His research interest is in the area of data mining.
  • Supported by:

    This work was supported in part by the National Basic Research 973 Program of China under Grant No. 2015CB352502, the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 61272092 and 61572289, the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province of China under Grant Nos. ZR2012FZ004 and ZR2015FM002, the Science and Technology Development Program of Shandong Province of China under Grant No. 2014GGE27178, and the NSERC (Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada) Discovery Grants.

下一个位置预测在很多基于位置的应用中起到重要作用。凭借坚实的理论基础,基于马尔科夫模型的方法在这个问题上取得了巨大的成功。在本文中,我们寻求通过理解对象间的相似度来提高预测效果。我们提出了一种新的加权马尔科夫模型,它在挖掘移动模式时同时考虑了位置序列和对象间的相似度。具体来说,我们首先为每个对象利用其历史轨迹训练一个马尔科夫模型,然后从两方面(空间位置相似度和轨迹相似度)来计算不同对象之间的相似度。最后,我们将相似度作为到达每一个候选下一个位置的概率的权重,并返回排名靠前的位置作为预测结果。我们在一个真实的数据集上进行了大量实验,实验结果显示我们提出的方法在预测准确度上比现有方法有很大提高。

Abstract: Next location prediction is of great importance for many location-based applications. With the virtue of solid theoretical foundations, Markov-based approaches have gained success along this direction. In this paper, we seek to enhance the prediction performance by understanding the similarity between objects. In particular, we propose a novel method, called weighted Markov model (weighted-MM), which exploits both the sequence of just-passed locations and the object similarity in mining the mobility patterns. To this end, we first train a Markov model for each object with its own trajectory records, and then quantify the similarities between different objects from two aspects:spatial locality similarity and trajectory similarity. Finally, we incorporate the object similarity into the Markov model by considering the similarity as the weight of the probability of reaching each possible next location, and return the top-rankings as results. We have conducted extensive experiments on a real dataset, and the results demonstrate significant improvements in prediction accuracy over existing solutions.

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